Brazil vs Norway Prediction – World Cup 2026 Round of 16

📅 Date	Sunday, July 5, 2026 – 9pm BST / 4pm ET
🏟️ Venue	MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey
🎯 Stage	Round of 16
📺 TV Ireland/UK	ITV1
🔮 Our Prediction	Seleção win, Over 2.5 goals

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FIFA World Cup 2026 Standings – How Both Teams Got Here

The five-time champions topped Group C with 7 points — wins over Haiti (3-0) and Scotland (3-0), draw with Morocco (1-1). Beat Japan 2-1 in the Round of 32, Gabriel Martinelli with a 95th-minute winner.

The Vikings finished second in Group I behind France with 6 points — wins over Iraq (4-1) and Senegal (3-2), lost 4-1 to France (rotated XI). Beat Ivory Coast 2-1 in the Round of 32, Erling Haaland with the late winner.

Full World Cup 2026 standings, World Cup 2026 bracket and match results — updated after every fixture — on our World Cup 2026 predictions page.

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Brazil vs Norway Odds – World Cup 2026

Market	Odds
Seleção win	-125 (1.80)
Draw	+260 (3.60)
Viking win	+360 (4.60)
Over 2.5 strikes	-140
Under 2.5 strikes	+110
BTTS Yes	~1.85
Seleção to advance	-270
Scandinavians to advance	+210

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Brazil vs Norway Team News and Predicted Lineups

Seleção injuries and doubts:

• Raphinha — returned to training but will NOT be risked Sunday
• Lucas Paquetá — hamstring, substituted vs Japan at half-time, serious doubt
• Danilo Santos expected to deputise in midfield

Seleção predicted XI (4-3-3): Alisson; Danilo, Marquinhos, Gabriel, Douglas Santos; Guimarães, Casemiro, Danilo Santos; Rayan, Cunha, Vinícius Júnior

Vikings — no significant absences reported

Vikings predicted XI (4-3-3): Nyland; Pedersen, Hanche-Olsen, Østigård, Møller Wolfe; Aursnes, Berge, Ødegaard; Nusa, Haaland, Thorstvedt

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Can Ancelotti’s Side Break the Historic Hoodoo?

The Seleção have never beaten the Vikings. Four meetings — 2 losses, 2 draws. The most painful: a 1-0 defeat at the 1998 competition in Marseille.

Solbakken played in that 1998 match. He now manages the Scandinavians attempting to repeat it.

The head-to-head record is historically distant — but Haaland gives it teeth in 2026.

The Manchester City striker against Seleção defenders in club football:

• vs Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal) — 11 meetings, 6 strikes
• vs Marquinhos (PSG) — 3 meetings, 3 strikes

Total: 14 club meetings, 9 finishes. The hoodoo has very specific statistical backing.

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Erling Haaland World Cup 2026 Stats

5 finishes in 4 matches at his first tournament. Late winner in the Round of 32 against Ivory Coast. Linked with Ødegaard — 7 combined strikes and 7 assists in the group stage.

Solbakken’s system: high press, quick vertical transitions, feeding the Manchester City striker in behind. Ancelotti’s fullbacks are the identified weak link — this is where the Scandinavians attack.

BTTS has landed in 10 of the Vikings’ last 11 internationals. Over 2.5 in all 4 of their current tournament matches — averaging 4.75 efforts per fixture.

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Vinicius Junior Brazil World Cup 2026 Stats

4 finishes in 4 matches. xG of 2.58 — scoring above expectation. 10 shots on target. Primary attacking weapon against the Vikings’ high defensive line.

Matheus Cunha: 3 strikes from 1.83 xG — clinical finishing above expectation. The Seleção scored 9 times across 4 tournament fixtures. Only conceded 3 — but all 3 came against quality opposition (Morocco and Japan).

Without Raphinha on the right, Rayan starts in his place. Ancelotti’s attacking options remain deep despite the absence.

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Brazil vs Norway Betting Tips – 3 Best Bets

Tip 1: Over 2.5 Strikes – -140
The standout market. Over 2.5 in 7 of the Seleção’s last 8 matches. All 4 Viking tournament fixtures produced over 2.5. Solbakken’s side averaged 4.75 per game. Both attacks are high-quality, both defences have been breached regularly. This is the strongest single market in the fixture.

Tip 2: Both Teams to Score – ~1.85
The Scandinavians have found the net in all 4 tournament appearances. Ancelotti’s side kept just 2 clean sheets — both against weaker opposition (Haiti, Scotland). Haaland’s club record of 9 finishes in 14 meetings against Marquinhos and Gabriel makes a Viking blank very unlikely.

Tip 3: Seleção to Win – -125 (1.80)
Superior squad depth, higher FIFA ranking (6th vs 31st), 9 strikes in 4 matches. The Vikings conceded 9 times in 4 fixtures — that defensive record doesn’t survive against Vinícius, Cunha and Guimarães in form. The hoodoo is real but this is a different quality level than previous meetings.

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Brazil versus Norway Prediction – Score and Result

Our prediction: Seleção 3-1 Vikings

Ancelotti’s attacking depth and the Vikings’ defensive vulnerabilities point toward a high-scoring home win for the five-time champions. Haaland scores — he almost always does — but the Seleção’s quality across all positions is the decisive factor.

Outcome	Probability
Seleção win	53-55%
Draw	27-28%
Viking win	20-22%

For more football predictions and betting tips — updated before every fixture.

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World Cup 2026 Schedule and Results – Round of 16

Match	Result
England 2-1 DR Congo	✅ FT
USA 2-0 Bosnia	✅ FT
Belgium 3-2 Senegal AET	✅ FT
Spain 3-0 Austria	✅ FT
Portugal 2-1 Croatia	✅ FT
Seleção vs Vikings	Today, 9pm BST
Mexico vs England	Mon July 7
USA vs Belgium	Mon July 7

Full World Cup 2026 results, World Cup 2026 scores today and World Cup 2026 fixtures at our standings page.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What time is Brazil versus Norway World Cup 2026?
Sunday July 5, 2026. Kick-off 9pm BST / 4pm ET / 11pm EEST. MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey.

What are the Brazil vs Norway odds?
Seleção -125 (1.80), Draw +260 (3.60), Vikings +360 (4.60). Over 2.5 strikes -140. Seleção to advance -270, Scandinavians +210.

What is the Brazil vs Norway prediction?
Seleção 3-1 Vikings. Over 2.5 strikes and BTTS are the strongest markets. Ancelotti’s squad depth and attacking quality make them clear favourites despite the historical hoodoo.

Has Brazil ever beaten Norway?
No. The Seleção have never beaten the Vikings in four meetings — 2 losses, 2 draws. Their last encounter was a 1-0 defeat at the 1998 competition in Marseille.

How many goals has Haaland scored at World Cup 2026?
5 finishes in 4 matches — including the late winner vs Ivory Coast in the Round of 32.

Is Raphinha playing versus Norway?
No. Raphinha has returned to training but will not be risked. Rayan starts on the right wing.

Is Lucas Paquetá fit for Brazil versus Norway?
Serious doubt. Hamstring injury vs Japan. Danilo Santos expected to start in midfield.

Where to watch Brazil vs Norway in Ireland/UK?
ITV1. Kick-off 9pm BST Sunday July 5.